Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 18.805084 21.876232 25.237144 29.180947 33.674398 38.626889 44.490792
2024-10-20 13.318273 17.389807 22.314807 28.675952 36.635782 46.225105 58.606098
2024-10-27 9.755425 13.991520 19.545184 27.283197 37.696221 51.121584 69.619880
2024-11-03 8.451508 13.073142 19.534170 29.089598 42.694379 61.169766 87.909880
2024-11-10 7.654223 12.635864 19.992861 31.435320 48.512267 72.719401 109.194921
2024-11-17 6.529971 11.471852 19.160205 31.697498 51.246241 80.074983 125.143904
2024-11-24 5.493203 10.241150 18.001652 31.231783 52.719050 85.583981 138.725399
2024-12-01 4.577163 9.038696 16.685725 30.286624 53.243343 89.577353 150.202533
2024-12-08 3.973538 8.274715 15.975083 30.208867 55.083064 95.676145 165.327665
2024-12-15 3.512458 7.691424 15.485712 30.420395 57.372535 102.613182 182.249442
2024-12-22 2.870549 6.640310 13.990832 28.630973 55.975475 103.267998 188.794091
2024-12-29 2.654559 6.419888 14.029317 29.661527 59.666995 112.801257 210.951083
2025-01-05 2.483698 6.295102 14.292300 31.259520 64.761123 125.546203 240.296208
2025-01-12 2.117583 5.673527 13.471524 30.650854 65.701313 131.103697 257.687551
2025-01-19 1.739300 4.942172 12.299646 29.157587 64.739084 133.073374 268.749069
2025-01-26 1.663054 4.936740 12.719352 31.072622 70.780001 148.647449 306.122639
2025-02-02 1.627059 5.027644 13.369106 33.561394 78.233516 167.496650 351.017259
2025-02-09 1.458194 4.727806 13.052908 33.839431 81.051178 177.487700 379.609501
2025-02-16 1.270177 4.332274 12.439667 33.345280 82.135762 184.078442 401.995330
2025-02-23 1.084708 3.899787 11.659989 32.342333 81.967330 188.060129 419.408077
2025-03-02 0.964290 3.637156 11.279121 32.259813 83.861386 196.452316 446.334562
2025-03-09 0.870344 3.436901 11.033909 32.484291 86.481713 206.569076 477.502388
2025-03-16 0.715084 2.990906 10.024568 30.585031 83.842484 205.080427 484.139745